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HYYX 發表於 2015-07-13 20:11
最近有“专家”表示2030年地球可能会进入小冰河期。。。东京是不是快改名了。。。 ...
https://www.ras.org.uk/news-and- ... en-by-double-dynamo
“We found magnetic wave components appearing in pairs, originating in two different layers in the Sun’s interior. They both have a frequency of approximately 11 years, although this frequency is slightly different, and they are offset in time. Over the cycle, the waves fluctuate between the northern and southern hemispheres of the Sun. Combining both waves together and comparing to real data for the current solar cycle, we found that our predictions showed an accuracy of 97%,” said Zharkova.
Zharkova and her colleagues derived their model using a technique called ‘principal component analysis’ of the magnetic field observations from the Wilcox Solar Observatory in California. They examined three solar cycles-worth of magnetic field activity, covering the period from 1976-2008. In addition, they compared their predictions to average sunspot numbers, another strong marker of solar activity. All the predictions and observations were closely matched.
国外的专家发言通常还是有理有据的,而且这还是在国际学术大会上,有一定的可信度。
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